Covid-19 may keep rising till early Oct

New Delhi, June 15:

India could face challenging days ahead as a study by the state-run Indian Council of Medical Research (ICMR) said that the country’s coronavirus count may keep rising until early October, two-and-a-half months later than it had earlier predicted.

The two-month-long nationwide lockdown has shifted the peak of covid-19 epidemic in India by 34-76 days from the earlier estimate of mid-July, the study by ICMR, along with the Post Graduate Institute of Medical Education and Research, Chandigarh, and the National Covid-19 Taskforce–Operations Research Group and other international institutes, said.

While the lockdown has slowed the spread of the pandemic, the country is now seeing a renewed surge in infections in Mumbai, Delhi and Chennai as India emerges from the lockdown and restarts its stalled economy.

The study, which estimated the annual mortality rate from covid-19 in India at 1.6 deaths per thousand, said the current dedicated resources in terms of isolation beds, ICU beds and ventilators are only adequate to meet its needs till the third week of September.

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